Between 2010 and 2020, North Carolina’s population grew by 903,905 individuals, an increase of 9.5%, faster than the national growth rate of 7.3%. Over that same period, North Carolina’s:
Nationally, the child population shrank by 1.1 million (-1.4%) and the adult population grew by 23.8 million (+10.1%). In Georgia, a state with similar overall population size and growth rate to North Carolina, the child population had a net increase of just 82 individuals between the 2010 and 2020 censuses.
Note: A declining child population does not mean that children are not being born; rather, it means that the number of children born in any year may be lower than the number of 17-year-olds turning 18 and the net migration of families with children is either insufficient to counterbalance these natural changes or is a compounding factor.
The child population increased in 23 states and the District of Columbia. The states with the largest numeric increases in the child population between 2010 and 2020 were Texas (413K), Florida (197K), Washington (99K), Utah (77K), and Colorado (39K). The child population grew the fastest in North Dakota (22%), followed by the District of Columbia (13%), Utah (9%), Idaho (8%), and South Dakota (7%).
The child population declined in 27 states. The states with the largest numeric decreases in the child population between 2010 and 2020 were California (-584K), Illinois (-316K), New York (-212K), Michigan (-181K), and Pennsylvania (-143K). The states with the largest percent declines in the child population were New Hampshire (-10.6%), Illinois (-10.1%), Connecticut (-9.8%), Mississippi (-9.5%), and Vermont (-8.2%).
While 51 North Carolina counties had fewer residents in 2020 than in the 2010 census, nearly three in every four counties (74) had fewer children in 2020 than in 2010. Even some counties with strong growth over the decade, such as Brunswick, Lincoln, and Forsyth, had smaller child populations in 2020, though these decreases were relatively small. The counties with the largest declines in the number of children were:
The counties with the largest percentage decrease in the child population between 2010 and 2020 were:
Wake County had the largest increase in the number of children (35K), followed by Mecklenburg (22K), Cabarrus (9.5K), Johnston (8.9K), and Durham (4.9K). The largest percentage increase in the child population over the decade was in Cabarrus (19.4%) and Johnston (19%), followed by Wake (14.8%), Pender (12.4%), and Moore (12.4%).
Need help understanding population change and its impacts on your community or business? Carolina Demography offers demographic research tailored to your needs.
Contact us today at demography@unc.edu for a free initial consultation.
Contact UsCategories: Census 2020
Tags: child population
Our material helped the NC Local News Lab Fund better understand and then prioritize their funding to better serve existing and future grant recipients in North Carolina. The North Carolina Local News Lab Fund was established in 2017 to strengthen…
The Wake County Public School System (WCPSS), which serves over 160,000 students, is the largest public school district in North Carolina. To better prepare for school siting needs, WCPSS asked Carolina Demography to project long-range forecasts (10-year) of school enrollment…
Alamance Community College (ACC) is a public community college with campuses in Graham, North Carolina and Burlington, North Carolina. They asked Carolina Demography to help them understand what they would need to know in order to plan for recruitment, enrollment…
Your support is critical to our mission of measuring, understanding, and predicting population change and its impact. Donate to Carolina Demography today.
