Elections & Voting
Keep up with our latest demographic insights
December 21, 2017: This post provides an updated look at potential 2020 reapportionment shifts based on the July 1, 2017 population estimates. Every decade, following the decennial Census, the 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives are allocated to the 50 states on the basis of their population. After the 2000 Census, 12 House seats shifted between 18 states. Ten states lost at least one representative while eight states gained at least one representative.…
The major function of the decennial census is apportionment, the allocation of the 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives to states based on their population size. Every 10 years, following reapportionment, states undergo a redistricting process, redrawing congressional (and other) district boundaries to reflect population changes within their state. Individual redistricting guidelines vary from state to state, but basic federal requirements for congressional redistricting mandate equal population size among the redrawn congressional districts…
The Census Bureau is already planning for the decennial Census on April 1, 2020. This will be the largest enumeration in American history, as the U.S. population has continued to grow steadily since 2010. 2020 is also on the horizon for the major political parties. The outcome of state and local elections on November 3, 2020, will determine who is in office during the post-enumeration process known as reapportionment and redistricting. One time each decade, seats…
Not all North Carolinians who are eligible to vote (citizens 18+) are registered to vote, and only two-thirds of those who were registered to vote participated in the 2014 election. Overall, less than half of North Carolina’s eligible voters cast a ballot in November 2014 according to the Current Population Survey voter supplement. Why didn’t individuals vote? Just over one in four registered voters (26%) reported that they did not vote because they were too…
According to the 2014 Current Population Survey, nearly 70% of North Carolina citizens 18 and older were registered to vote in the November 2014 election. Only about two-thirds of registered voters reported actually voting on Election Day, however, meaning less than half (46.2%) of eligible voters voted in 2014. Among North Carolina adults, there are significant racial and ethnic differences in eligibility to vote, registration rates, and voter turnout. As a consequence, the composition of…
“Since 1978, voting rates have been consistently higher in presidential election years than in congressional election years. In 2014, the overall voting rate was the lowest for a congressional election since the CPS first asked about voting and citizenship status in 1978. At 41.9 percent, the 2014 turnout rate was 3.6 percentage points lower than in 2010 and 5.9 percentage points lower than in 2006.” – Thom File, “Who Votes? Congressional Elections and the American…
Yesterday’s post examined projected generational changes in North Carolina’s adult population. By 2016, North Carolina is projected to have 7.85 million adults, with the following projected generational breakdown: Greatest ( - 1927): 82,800 Silent (1928-1945): 849,400 Baby Boomers (1946-1964): 2,329,500 Gen X (1965-1981): 2,273,700 Millennial (1982-2004): 2,317,000 Baby Boomers will just barely be the largest adult generation, with Millennials poised to overtake them in population size in 2017. Voting Eligible How do these total population…
Monday, September 15th, through Wednesday, October 15th, marks National Hispanic Heritage Month. In 2012, the Pew Research Hispanic Trends Project published a look at the Hispanic electorate in every state. They noted that, in North Carolina: The number of Latinos registered to vote has increased tenfold since 2004. It rose from 10,000 during the 2004 presidential election to 68,000 during the 2008 presidential election and now stands at 113,000. The share of Latino registered voters…
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